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Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.
Currently, there are 538 electors, based on 435 representatives, 100 senators from the fifty states and three electors from Washington, D.C. The six states with the most electors are California (54), Texas (40), Florida (30), New York (28), Illinois (19), and Pennsylvania (19).
538 and abc news November 7, 2023 at 5:08 PM Nov. 7, 2023, was Election Day in at least 37 states, and Americans cast their votes on everything from governorships to local referenda.
This is a list of opinion polls taken on the presidency of Joe Biden in 2021. To navigate between years, see opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration. For 2022 opinion polling, see 2022 opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration. Biden's average approval rating was generally over 50% in the first 7 months of his presidency.
According to polling and analysis website 538, Trump leads the Republican field in New Hampshire with 43% of likely primary voters planning to cast a ballot for the former president.
538 Nov 8, 2022 Econ. Nov 4, 2022 Winner; Alaska at-large: R+8: Mary Peltola: 51.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Mary Peltola (D) Arizona 1: R+2: David Schweikert: 52.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Solid R Lean R David Schweikert (R) Arizona 2: R+6: Tom O'Halleran: 51.6% D Lean R (flip)
538: 100% Donald Trump: Mike Pence: Republican: 51: 538: 100% Jo Jorgensen: Spike Cohen: Libertarian: 51: 538: 100% Howie Hawkins: Angela Walker: Green: 30 (46) 381 (511) 73.2% (95.8%) Gloria La Riva: Sunil Freeman: Socialism and Liberation: 15 (33) 195 (401) 37.0% (76.1%) Rocky De La Fuente: Darcy Richardson: Alliance: 15 (25) 183 (289) 34.7% ...
The site reports on political races and projections, and features the average result of all current presidential polls and also offers a best-guess projection of Electoral College votes. The site's poll average is a "widely referenced source". Major news outlets including CNN, Fox News, and the New York Times often cite its polling figures.
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...